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Solved Hurricane Tracking
Retired Bell Head
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In the past I have started a thread for each storm but since this is the middle of the season I will use this thread for all storms for the rest of the season. There are 3 to watch today.
Katia - should miss land
TD14 - may follow Katia
Invest 96 - Hope this is not another Lee
Jim
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Retired Bell Head
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Update 5pm Thur
Here is the latest.
New interactive map at
National Hurricane Center
Katia - Looks like bad weather for the UK.
Maria is not very strong and is suppose to follow Katia's track but you can't be too sure.
Nate is still uncertain and waiting on steering currents and may be a strong one before landfall.
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Retired Bell Head
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Its a lot quieter now. Nate went into Mexico, Katia lasted a long time and hit Scotland and yesterday Maria hit Newfoundland and has dissipated. A new low is being watched for development. Too early to see if this will do anything.
Jim
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Retired Bell Head
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Heads Up
This one may develop later today or tomorrow.
1. CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH THE LARGE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED ABOUT 1500 MILES EAST OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS REMAIN FAIRLY WELL ORGANIZED. HOWEVER...THE SYSTEM DOES NOT HAVE A WELL-DEFINED CENTER OF CIRCULATION AT THIS TIME. CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN CONDUCIVE FOR A TROPICAL DEPRESSION TO FORM IN THIS AREA LATER TODAY OR ON WEDNESDAY...AND THIS SYSTEM HAS A HIGH CHANCE...70 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT 5 TO 10 MPH.
Jim
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Ophelia
That didn't take long.
Jim
Last edited: Sep 21, 2011
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Ophelia 5pm Wed Update
Hope this thing stays offshore.
This is Hilary and hope it heads out to sea.
Jim
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Retired Bell Head
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Ophelia and Hillary 5pm Thur Update
Ophelia
Hilary
Jim
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Retired Bell Head
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Tues 9-27 11pm update
Ophelia has re-formed and heading toward Bermuda.
Philippe should die out in a few days
Hilary should die out in a few days.
Jim
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Double wammy for Mexico
Two Hurricanes are bearing down on the West coast of Mexico.
Jova to hit Monday night
Irwin maybe Wed night and near the same area.
Jim
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Retired Bell Head
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Update Mon 10-10
Jova will probably make landfall late Tues night with winds at 125mph.
Irwin may not develop over 45mph but thinks can change.
Jova
Jova Winds
Irwin
Jim
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Retired Bell Head
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Two to watch this week
Rina - May become a major hurricane and head to south Florida after hitting Mexico Yucatan.
Rina Computer Models
Invest 97 - may develop with warm waters in the Caribbean.
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Update Mon 10-24 2pm
Rina looks to become Major Hurricane
Rina heading to Yucatan.
Rina may turn right into South Florida or Cuba
Invest 97 Plenty of time and hot water to develop
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Update Tues 11PM
given the favorable low-shear environment and the very high oceanic heat content prevailing in the northwestern caribbean sea...rina could become a major hurricane at any time before reaching eastern yucatan. Thereafter...rina will find a very hostile environment of strong shear over the extreme southern gulf of mexico which most likely will weaken the cyclone significantly.
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Big Changes in Rina
Looks like Rina is getting her butt kicked. Dry air and wind shear is taking the fight out of Rina and it is expected to stay in the North Caribbean and dissipate. Still has 60mph winds but is degrading.
Jim
Last edited: Oct 27, 2011
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Retired Bell Head
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All Clear
Looks to be all clear for now. Still have 31 days left in Hurricane season. It ends on November 30.
Jim
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Retired Bell Head
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2011 Hurricane season is over. See you next year.
Jim
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Katia - should miss land
TD14 - may follow Katia
Invest 96 - Hope this is not another Lee
