New
#21
After no Atlantic activity for over a Month we have a bite.
Jim
Hurricane Tracking 2012
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New #23
5PM Aug 4 Update
Ernesto heading to the Yucatan and into the Gulf.
Florence in Eastern Atlantic and may die as it turns North/West in 5 days.
Jim
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New #24
Mon 2pm update
As predicted Florence has died off into a sub-tropical low.
Ernesto is heading to Mexico-Belize border and may reach 90mph winds before landfall on Wed.
Jim
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New #25
Ernesto Landfall
At 1000 pm cdt...0300 utc...data from the Belize radar indicate hurricane Ernesto made landfall along the southern coast of the Yucatan peninsula near Mahahual Mexico as a category 1 hurricane.
Summary of 1000 pm cdt...0300 utc...information
location...18.7n 87.7w about 0 mi...0 km E of Mahahual Mexico about 40 mi...65 km ENE of Chetumal Mexico
maximum sustained winds...85 mph...140 km/h
present movement...w or 270 degrees at 15 mph...24 km/h
minimum central pressure...980 mb...28.94 inches
Jim
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New #26
4pm wed Aug 8
Ernesto:
THE CENTER WILL MOVE OVER THE EXTREME SOUTHERN BAY OF CAMPECHE TONIGHT AND EARLY THURSDAY...AND BE NEAR OR OVER THE GULF COAST OF MEXICO IN THE HURRICANE WATCH AREA LATER ON THURSDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST TONIGHT AND EARLY THURSDAY. WEAKENING IS EXPECTED AFTER THE CENTER MOVES OVER LAND LATER ON THURSDAY.
Jim
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New #29
Sat 11am update
TD 7 from my previous post has dissipated into a wave but the NHC will monitor it for any new development.
Also Ernesto has crossed into the Pacific and is reforming but is heading west out to sea and may dissipate in 5 days.THE WAVE CONTINUES TO MOVE RAPIDLY TO THE WEST AT AN ESTIMATED SPEED OF 22 KT. THE AXIS OF THE WAVE SHOULD MOVE ACROSS THE LESSER ANTILLES THIS EVENING AND THEN CONTINUE WESTWARD ACROSS THE CARIBBEAN SEA DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS. HEAVY RAINS AND WIND GUSTS TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE ARE STILL POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE LESSER ANTILLES LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT.
Jim
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