Solved Lookout Texas

[Phone Man]

Friends in Texas. Keep an eye on this system. May develop when it moves into the Gulf.



Jim

 

[marsmimar]

Not wishing anything bad for the Gulf Coast, but we've been in a drought condition for the past few years. A bit of rain would be very welcome. Even my weeds are complaining.

 

[Brink]

Indeed. Hopefully it will not do any damage, and just give us some most needed rain.

 

[Phone Man]

I live in the New Orleans area and our drought is broken. It has rained for the last 3 weeks. Mostly afternoon storms but very heavy and looks like it won't let up for a while. Hope you Texans get some rain but not too much wind out of that system.

Stay safe,
Jim

 

[Phone Man]

Wed 4pm Update

His name is Don and is predicted to reach 65mph winds in 48hrs and may get higher before landfall in Texas. Looks like Corpus Christi is in the bulls-eye for now but that can change a lot in the next two days.



Go to National Hurricane Center for updates.

Jim

 

[scrooge]

good luck and stay safe.

scrooge

 

[sygnus21]

Not wishing anything bad for the Gulf Coast, but we've been in a drought condition for the past few years. A bit of rain would be very welcome. Even my weeds are complaining.

LOL - let's hope it just takes care of the weeds and nothing else.

 

[essenbe]

I know you folks in Texas need some rain and I hope you get rain and not much else. I live in NW FLA and we went through about 4 in one year, Ivan was the worst one. I hope you avoid that and just make your weeds happy. Good luck.

 

[Phone Man]

Thur 4pm update

The latest advisory still shows it going in at Corpus Christi but with a slight move to the South. There is some sheer and dry air in the Gulf which should keep it from becoming a Hurricane and predicted to reach 60mph wind before land fall Friday night.



Jim

 

[Phone Man]

Thur 10pm Update

Don has made a move and his projected track has shifted South. The bulls-eye is now South of Baffin Bay but the models are all over the place from just North of Corpus to Brownsville. Don is a tricky guy but still not very strong.



Jim

 

[karlsnooks]

Come on poor excuse for a hurricane. We need the rain. Heck, I grew up around Corpus and we have no fear of hurricanes, but do have a healthy respect for strong ones.

 

[Phone Man]

Fri 4pm Update

Don is a mainly a rain maker and the center is heading for land fall at Baffin Bay but most of the rain is South of the center. Some scattered rain in Louisiana and Texas. The white circle is the area of tropical storm winds (39-50mph).



Jim

 

[essenbe]

That is different. Most tropical systems the strongest weather is in the N/E quadrant.

 

[marsmimar]

Heard the local weather people say that there's an exceptionally strong high pressure area NE of Don which is pushing the majority of wind and rain to the SW. Don't really understand all that good stuff except to know we got cheated on some much needed rain again.

 

[carwiz]

Dinky Don has fizzled out before making landfall. It was nothing but a Tropical Storm to begin with. Latest has us getting scattered showers. It was looking pretty good earlier in the week and we were hoping to get 4-6" of rain out of it. The Gulf is hot enough but the high pressure to the North just wouldn't let it build.

But, just in case, we've all installed the new and improved South Texas Rain Gauge.

 

[essenbe]

You might have another chance, I was told there is another right behind it.

 

[carwiz]

I think that one is about 2,000 miles right behind. A lot can happen before it makes the Gulf. I think everyone down here would put up with a large storm to get some rain. The Coastal Bend area may not agree but we sure need the water.

 

[essenbe]

I sure hope you get some rain. But, I also hope we don't. We haven't recovered from Ivan completely.

 

[Phone Man]

Here are the next two that are being watched. The Yellow one is moving West and is expected to dissipate over Central America. The orange one needs to be watched as it may develop into something.





Some models show it reaching Hurricane strength in 3 or 4 days. It may miss the US but the Islands may get hit hard.

I'm going to marked this thread Solved and open a new one if anything else develops.

Jim

 

[seekermeister]

This thread reminds me of when I was a pilot based at Houston Hobby, back in the 80s, when a hurricane was approaching the coast and expected to hit houston in ~ an hour. I was standing outside of the FBO, when a friend ran by, heading for his King Air, and asked if I wasn't leaving. To my surprise, I said "why? it's not coming here." Half of me believed that, but the other half was as shocked as he was.

Nevertheless, I stayed behind, and from that moment the hurricane began a counter-clockwise circle and headed for Louisiana. By the time that I got home ~ an hour later, it had made landfall and tore a path across that area. Needless to say, my friend never quite looked at me the same after that.

On the other hand, my father's grand mother was terrified of tornadoes, and was the primary reason that they moved from Stigler, Oklahoma to Mesa, Arizona back in the 30s... tornadoes were almost unknown in that area. I'm not exactly sure when, but a few years later, my grand parents house, in which my great grand mother lived, was struck by a tornado and demolished. She was killed, and everything she owned was destroyed. My grand mother survived, due to being covered by a door, and most of what she and my grand father owned was not destroyed.

The moral of these stories is that what we believe does have an effect on the world around us...even the weather.