Gouging
IMO, the price of SSDs won't drop (for many years) they'll just slowly increase the capacity.
That statement may go down in history, like:
"There is no reason anyone would want a computer in their home."
— Ken Olsen, founder of Digital Equipment, in 1977.
In 1975 a TV repairman said he thought the price of VCRs (remember them?) was as low as possible due to the high tech involved and preciseness of manufacturing, etc, etc. They were (on sale) around $1500 at the time.
I had to replace a HDD, 80GB,5400 RPM, at a cost of $189.
Not putting you down at all here, but I see the SSD price per gigabyte falling a lot in the next two years. OEMs will soon be including them as a standard drive, in laptops first then more in desktops, driving demand, supply and tech to make them better and faster.
I totally agree, unless there is collusion involved with manufacturers .
Didn't IBM say something similar?
VCRs remained expensive for many years.
Remember CRT TVs?
For a long time they were expensive.
For reasons unknown to me (Asian competition?) the price dropped to dirt cheap.
Suddenly flat CRTs came out and they were ridiculously expensive.
The price never dropped down to dirt cheap, because Flat Screens (LCD & Plasma) were introduced.
When Flat Screens came out they were hellishly expensive.
The price dropped to affordable.
The price hasn't dropped to dirt cheap, because the manufacturers are all pushing 3D TVs now, which are hellishly expensive again.
I expect that the cost ($/GB) will drop, but the "bottom line" price will remain stable (~$100).
That is to say that they will cost ~$100, but the capacity will increase.
Prices have barely moved on SSDs in the last 18 months.
Most other complex consumer products (Blu-ray Players, HDDs, Laptops, PCs, Monitors, etc.) have had large price drops.
Conclusion: we are being gouged on SSD prices.
February 2010
HDD (2 TB)
$225
$0.11/GB
SSD (64 GB)
$149
$2.33/GB
August 2011 (before the price surge)
HDD (2 TB)
$89 (-60.4%)
$0.04/GB
SSD (64 GB)
$105 (-29.5%)
$1.64/GB
It's always possible that some new manufacturing technique will dramatically slash the cost.
However if that happens, I expect that it will be used to increase the profit margin instead.
Windows 7 has been out for 2 years and yet it is still $400 for Ultimate.
Cartels provide a lot of our "essential" consumer products/services now.
IMO, they set a "bottom line" price and only compete above that.